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Decoding Bitcoin's Bull Run: A Deja Vu from 2021 or a New Rally in 2024?

Decoding Bitcoin's Bull Run: A Deja Vu from 2021 or a New Rally in 2024?


Bitcoin's price has surged above $45,000, resembling the 2021 bull run according to the Average Directional Index analysis. The tool shows a strong uptrend, potentially leading to a $94,000 target by mid-February. The ADX, created by J. Welles Wilder, Jr., indicates ripe conditions for a parabolic rally, with potential for an even stronger rally if BTCUSD exceeds the previous peak level of 85.


Our analysis of the situation


Bitcoin's recent surge above $45,000 has sparked excitement in the crypto sphere, with the Average Directional Index (ADX) flashing striking similarities to the 2021 bull run. As the cryptocurrency trend gains momentum, it's time to decode the signals and brace for potential market upheavals.

When it comes to Bitcoin's trend, wisdom dictates getting out of the way as the behemoth charts its course. Presently, the ADX indicates an upward trajectory, signifying an active trend in play and setting the stage for potential substantial price movements. Furthermore, the ADX's leap above 51 mirrors the scenario observed prior to a remarkable 120% surge in late 2020, prompting speculation of another meteoric rise to $94,000 per coin by mid-February.

The Average Directional Index, crafted by the legendary J. Welles Wilder, Jr., is a potent tool for measuring trend strength. The ADX, coupled with the Directional Indicators DI+ and DI-, furnishes a comprehensive evaluation of market dynamics. Notably, the ADX's current location mirrors that of the late 2020 and early 2021 bull run, with the DI+ and DI- at similarly elevated levels, potentially paving the way for a parabolic rally reminiscent of 2021's stunning ascent.

Looking back to the previous bull run, Bitcoin reached its peak as the ADX soared to 85 before retracing downward. Should BTCUSD surpass this threshold, we could witness a more formidable rally than anticipated. Conversely, failure to breach the 85 level, coupled with a new all-time high, might signal a bearish divergence, potentially hinting at an impending market top. Irrespective of the outcome, the ADX serves as a vital tool for comprehending cryptocurrency trends.

In conclusion, as Bitcoin's price flirts with record highs, the ADX provides valuable insights into potential market shifts. With echoes of the 2021 bull run reverberating in the ADX readings, market participants are bracing themselves for a tantalizing ride as Bitcoin's rally unfolds.

Written by Tony, author of the CoinChartist (VIP) newsletter. For more market insights and technical analysis education, follow @TonyTheBullBTC and @coinchartist_io on Twitter or join the TonyTradesBTC Telegram group. Note: Content provided is for educational purposes and should not be construed as investment advice.


Disclaimer: Our articles are NOT financial advice, and we are not financial advisors. Your investments are your own responsibility. Please do your own research and seek advice from a licensed financial advisor beforehand if needed.
Image(s) are provided by Unsplash or other free sources. They are illustrative and may not represent the content truly.

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